Bunge Global SA $BG, a leading global trader in agricultural products, has projected a less favorable outlook for its profit this year. Amid escalating geopolitical uncertainty and volatile global commodity markets, the company anticipates its adjusted earnings for 2025 to drop to the lowest level since the onset of the pandemic.
In its recent report, Bunge indicated that the forecasted adjusted earnings for the full year will be $7.75 per share. This represents a 16% decrease compared to the previous year and falls below consensus estimate. This figure also marks the lowest for the company since 2019. Following these announcements, Bunge's shares dropped by 4.7% in pre-market trading in New York, signaling concerns within the market.
The company attributes the decline in performance to a combination of factors, principally heightened volatility in food supply, restricted export capabilities, and significant geopolitical tension.
The company's report also notes that the current forecast does not account for the anticipated acquisition of Viterra, an agribusiness backed by Glencore Plc $GLEN.L. The merger with Viterra could alter the organization's financial outcomes, but its potential impact remains an open question, given the scale of the deal and market competition levels.
Outlined below are the key factors that contributed to the anticipated profit reduction:
Reduction in logistical efficiency. Changes in global supply chains and increased transportation costs.
Commodity price fluctuations. Significant volatility in the markets for grains, oilseeds, and other staple food products.
Regulatory changes. Tightening of environmental standards and new trade restrictions in several countries.
Increased currency risks. The impact of weakening national currencies relative to the dominant US dollar on profitability.
To minimize adverse effects and improve its financial outcomes, Bunge is taking several steps. Here are the major initiatives:
Diversification of operations. The company is actively reallocating its resources across regions to offset local downturns.
Strengthening investment activity. The planned acquisition of Viterra could enhance control over the entire supply chain— from farm to end consumer.
Sustainable development. Increasing focus on ecological responsibility and sustainable business practices.
Despite current challenges, Bunge retains its prominent role in the global agribusiness sector. However, to ensure growth and stabilize profits, the company will need to adjust its strategies in light of complex global realities. The coming years are likely to be a time of transformation for Bunge, aimed at enhancing resilience and better-balanced resource use.
Long-term strategies are drawing considerable attention from institutional investors
Strong financial results solidify the company’s place in the competitive global market
Tough outlook for Bunge, but hopefully they can navigate through the challenges ahead.