A recent report by Citi has adjusted China’s GDP growth forecast for 2025 from an expected 4.7% to 4.2%. This significant revision is attributed to the growing influence of external risks, primarily increased trade tariffs, which are expected to dampen economic momentum. The report highlights that elevated tariffs could slow down China’s economic growth by at least 1.5 percentage points on an annual basis, with an additional impact of approximately 0.6 percentage points in 2025. Simultaneously, China’s domestic policy is anticipated to shift its focus toward boosting internal demand, potentially accompanied by a reduction in the central bank’s key interest rate.